Planning fallacy
Bias Lab · Roleplay
Out by lunch. Realistically?
You must clear an apartment on Saturday and return the keys. Your friend Dani says four people can finish by noon, leaving time for a relaxed lunch. The landlord charges for a late handover.
Your role
You, responsible for the move and key return
Objective
Use comparable experience, task decomposition, buffers, and failure plans before committing to a schedule.
Pressure-test the plan with Dani
0 of 7 questions or responses used
This is easy: four people, one van, maybe three hours. We start at nine and hand back the keys by noon. We do not need a complicated plan—everyone always makes moving sound worse than it is.